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Najee Harris

Najee Harris Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Buffalo Bills vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Najee Harris Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (-113/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 57.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 59.5 @ -113.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to run on 45.7% of their plays: the 3rd-highest rate on the slate this week.

The leading projections forecast Najee Harris to accrue 16.8 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs.

When talking about opening holes for runners (and the ramifications it has on all run game metrics), the offensive line of the Steelers profiles as the 10th-best in the league last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Pittsburgh Steelers will be forced to start backup quarterback Mason Rudolph in this week's game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

This game's spread suggests an extreme passing game script for the Steelers, who are big -10-point underdogs.

The projections expect the Steelers to run the 2nd-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.0 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The Steelers have run the fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 55.8 plays per game.

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