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MLB > Leaderboards > Hitter Projections (Rates)

 

Projected rate stats from all three of Derek Carty's projection systems (THE BAT, THE BATcast, and THE BAT X), plus past season stats for each player to easily compare past performance with a player's current projection.


*Yearly stats reflect what the player actually did.  Projections are an estimate of a player's true talent level right now and update nightly. 

 

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Hitter Projections (Rates)

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Pitcher Projections (Rates)

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Glossary
×

ObservedAnything with this filter is the player’s actual stats accrued in a given year
ProjectedAnything with this filter is the player’s projected talent level at the present time
THE BATThe classic projection system from Derek Carty, as popularized at FanGraphs (for season-long projections) and RotoGrinders (for daily fantasy projections).  Read more about THE BAT here
THE BATcastA new projection system from Derek Carty, similar to THE BAT but using only Statcast data to project players (with the exception of non-contacted-ball outcomes like strikeouts and walks, which use THE BAT’s original projection)
THE BAT X

X: A new projection system from Derek Carty. The optimal combination of THE BAT and THE

BATcast, combining both traditional stats and Statcast data to form the best possible projection. Read more about THE BAT X here ().

wOBAWeighted On-Base Average.  Created by Tom Tango, the best measure of a player’s offensive contribution to run-scoring
BABIP

Batting Average on Balls in Play. In other words, the percentage of non-home runs balls that become hits.

ISO

Isolated Slugging. Slugging Percentage minus Batting Average, a commonly used measure of a

player’s power.

BABatting Average
OBPOn-base Percentage
SLGSlugging Percentage
OPSOn-base Percentage plus Slugging Percentage
HR/600

Home runs per 600 plate appearances. A measure of efficiency that puts all players on the

same scale in an easily understood format.

2B+3B%Rate on doubles and triples on contacted balls
SB/PAStolen bases per plate appearance
CS%Caught Stealing percentage
xHR/xwOBA/xBABIP/etc.

Any stat preceded by “x” is an “Expected” stat. This is what the player would

have been expected to do based solely on his Statcast data. These stats will differ from expected stats

at other websites, as they are based on formulas from Derek Carty and THE BATcast.

 

Note: Statcast stats are calculated live by in-ballpark cameras and radar.  These occasionally fail to record data on certain batted balls.  All data and projections displayed at EV that rely on Statcast data identify these missed balls and estimate what they should have been.  Internal tests showed this to be slightly more accurate than either ignoring the missing data or using MLB's

fast_rewind exposure_neg_2 exposure_neg_1 exposure_plus_1 exposure_plus_2 fast_forward
×

ObservedAnything with this filter is the player’s actual stats accrued in a given year
ProjectedAnything with this filter is the player’s projected talent level at the present time
THE BATThe classic projection system from Derek Carty, as popularized at FanGraphs (for season-long projections) and RotoGrinders (for daily fantasy projections).  Read more about THE BAT here
THE BATcastA new projection system from Derek Carty, similar to THE BAT but using only Statcast data to project players (with the exception of non-contacted-ball outcomes like strikeouts and walks, which use THE BAT’s original projection)
THE BAT X

X: A new projection system from Derek Carty. The optimal combination of THE BAT and THE

BATcast, combining both traditional stats and Statcast data to form the best possible projection. Read more about THE BAT X here ().

wOBAWeighted On-Base Average.  Created by Tom Tango, the best measure of a player’s offensive contribution to run-scoring
BABIP

Batting Average on Balls in Play. In other words, the percentage of non-home runs balls that become hits.

ISO

Isolated Slugging. Slugging Percentage minus Batting Average, a commonly used measure of a

player’s power.

BABatting Average
OBPOn-base Percentage
SLGSlugging Percentage
OPSOn-base Percentage plus Slugging Percentage
HR/600

Home runs per 600 plate appearances. A measure of efficiency that puts all players on the

same scale in an easily understood format.

2B+3B%Rate on doubles and triples on contacted balls
SB/PAStolen bases per plate appearance
CS%Caught Stealing percentage
xHR/xwOBA/xBABIP/etc.

Any stat preceded by “x” is an “Expected” stat. This is what the player would

have been expected to do based solely on his Statcast data. These stats will differ from expected stats

at other websites, as they are based on formulas from Derek Carty and THE BATcast.

 

Note: Statcast stats are calculated live by in-ballpark cameras and radar.  These occasionally fail to record data on certain batted balls.  All data and projections displayed at EV that rely on Statcast data identify these missed balls and estimate what they should have been.  Internal tests showed this to be slightly more accurate than either ignoring the missing data or using MLB's

fast_rewind exposure_neg_2 exposure_neg_1 exposure_plus_1 exposure_plus_2 fast_forward
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