MLB Leaderboards - Expected Stats

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Stats that reflect how a player would have been "expected" to perform based solely on his Statcast data, plus THE BATcast's projected version of each metric.

*These are based on formulas from THE BATcast and will be different from versions of expected stats found at other websites.

*Yearly stats reflect what the player actually did and his corresponding expected stats. Projections are an estimate of a player's true talent level right now and update nightly.

LEADERBOARDS

Projections (Totals)

Projections (Rates)

Statcast Stats (Raw)

Statcast Stats (Percentiles)

Expected Stats

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Team Offense Rankings

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RESEARCH DATA

Statcast Correlations

Park Factors

Stolen Base Matchup Tool

Umpire Rankings

SP SB Tendencies

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Glossary

Observed	Anything with this filter is the player’s actual stats accrued in a given year
Projected	Anything with this filter is the player’s projected talent level at the present time
THE BATcast	A new projection system from Derek Carty, similar to THE BAT but using only Statcast data to project players (with the exception of non-contacted-ball outcomes like strikeouts and walks, which use THE BAT’s original projection)
wOBA	Weighted On-Base Average. Created by Tom Tango, the best measure of a player’s offensive contribution to run-scoring.
BABIP	Batting Average on Balls in Play. In other words, the percentage of non-home runs balls that become hits.
xHR/xwOBA/xBABIP/etc.	Any stat preceded by “x” is an “Expected” stat. This is what the player would have been expected to do based solely on his Statcast data. These stats will differ from expected stats at other websites, as they are based on formulas from Derek Carty and THE BATcast.
HR/600 and SB/600	Home runs and stolen bases per 600 plate appearances. A measure of efficiency that puts all players on the same scale in an easily understood format.

Observed	Anything with this filter is the player’s actual stats accrued in a given year
Projected	Anything with this filter is the player’s projected talent level at the present time
THE BATcast	A new projection system from Derek Carty, similar to THE BAT but using only Statcast data to project players (with the exception of non-contacted-ball outcomes like strikeouts and walks, which use THE BAT’s original projection)
wOBA	Weighted On-Base Average. Created by Tom Tango, the best measure of a player’s offensive contribution to run-scoring.
BABIP	Batting Average on Balls in Play. In other words, the percentage of non-home runs balls that become hits.
xHR/xwOBA/xBABIP/etc.	Any stat preceded by “x” is an “Expected” stat. This is what the player would have been expected to do based solely on his Statcast data. These stats will differ from expected stats at other websites, as they are based on formulas from Derek Carty and THE BATcast.
HR/600 and SB/600	Home runs and stolen bases per 600 plate appearances. A measure of efficiency that puts all players on the same scale in an easily understood format.