NFL Betting Models - Teams - Gamesheet

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Glossary

GAME INFO

Date

Date of Event

Time

Kickoff in EST

Category

The betting market

Team

Team Name

Team Acronym

Opp

Opponent Acronym

Game

The game matchup

HFA

This indicates Home Field Advantage (HFA), where 1 = Home team and 0 = Visiting team

SPREAD INFO

Spread (LN) Move

This is the direction the spread is moving. An up arrow indicates the betting markets are wagering on this team's spread resulting in a less advantageous spread for you. A down arrow indicates the betting markets are wagering on this teams opponent's spread resulting in a more advantageous spread for you

Opening Spread (LN)

This is the opening spread for this team

Current Spread (LN)

This is the current spread for this team

THE BLITZ Projected LN

This is the spread THE BLITZ is projecting

GAME TOTAL INFO

Game Total (OU) Move

This is the direction the game total is moving. An up arrow indicates the betting markets are wagering on the OVER resulting in a less advantageous over game total for you. A down arrow indicates the betting markets are wagering on the UNDER resulting in a less advantageous under game total for you

Opening Game Total (OU)

This is the opening game total or over/under line (ou)

Current Game Total (OU)

This is the current game total or over/under line (ou)

THE BLITZ Projected OU

This s the game total THE BLITZ is projecting

The Blitz Projected OU Side

This is betting result THE BLITZ projects for the game total

MONEYLINE INFO

Moneyline (ML) Move

This is the direction the moneyline is moving. An up arrow indicates the betting markets are wagering on this team's moneyline resulting in a less advantageous odds for you. A down arrow indicates the betting markets are wagering on this teams opponent's moneyline resulting in a more advantageous odds for you

Opening Moneyline (ML)

This is the opening moneyline for this team

Current Moneyline (ML)

This is the current moneyline for this team

THE BLITZ Projected ML

This is the moneyline THE BLITZ is projecting

VALUE

Expected Value

This image helps you identify value opportunities. The more plus EV the more inefficient the odds are, according to the model. Sort this column to help you identify potential value opportunities

BETTING HANDLES

Spread (LN) Ticket %

This is the percentage of bets that have been wagered on this team's spread

Spread (LN) Cash %

This is the percentage of money that have been wagered on this team's spread

Over (OU) Ticket %

This is the percentage of bets that have been wagered on the OVER for this game's total

Under (OU) Ticket %

This is the percentage of bets that have been wagered on the UNDER for this game's total

Over (OU) Cash %

This is the percentage of money that have been wagered on the OVER for this game's total

Under (OU) Cash %

This is the percentage of money that have been wagered on the UNDER for this game's total

Moneyline (ML) Ticket %

This is the percentage of bets that have been wagered on this team's moneyline

Moneyline (ML) Cash %

This is the percentage of money that have been wagered on this team's moneyline

AGAINST THE SPREAD (ATS)

LN Win

This is the number of times the team has covered the spread or won against the spread (ATS)

LN Loss

This is the number of times the team failed to cover the spread or lost against the spread (ATS)

LN Push

This is the number of times the team pushed the spread or tied against the spread (ATS)

LN Units

This is total units generated against the spread (ATS). Had you blindly wagered on this teams spread every time, this is the total amount of units you would have won or lost

LN ROI

This is the return on investment (ROI) against the spread. Had you blindly wagered on this teams spread every time, this is the percentage of money you would have won or lost. Your investment is the total amount wagered for every bet or the amount you would have had to risk for each bet

OVER Win

This is the number of times this team's game score was OVER the game total or won against the game total spread (ATS)

UNDER Win

This is the number of times this team's game score was UNDER the game total or lost against the game total spread (ATS)

OU Push

This is the number of times this team's game score pushed the game total or tied against the game total spread (ATS)

OVER Units

This is total units generated by betting this team's game total OVER. Had you blindly wagered on the game total OVER every time this team played, this is the total amount of units you would have won or lost

UNDER Units

This is total units generated by betting this team's game total UNDER. Had you blindly wagered on the game total UNDER every time this team played, this is the total amount of units you would have won or lost

OVER ROI

This is the return on investment (ROI) on betting this team's game total OVER. Had you blindly wagered on the game total OVER every time this team played, this is the percentage of money you would have won or lost. Your investment is the total amount wagered for every bet or the amount you would have had to risk for each bet

UNDER ROI

This is the return on investment (ROI) on betting this team's game total UNDER. Had you blindly wagered on the game total UNDER every time this team played, this is the percentage of money you would have won or lost. Your investment is the total amount wagered for every bet or the amount you would have had to risk for each bet

ML Win

This is the number of times this team covered the moneyline or won the game

ML Loss

This is the number of times this team failed to cover the moneyline or lost the game

ML Push

This is the number of times this team pushed the moneyline or tied the game

ML Units

This is total units generated against the moneyline. Had you blindly wagered on this teams moneyline every time, this is the total amount of units you would have won or lost

ML ROI

This is the return on investment (ROI) against the moneyline. Had you blindly wagered on this teams moneyline every time, this is the percentage of money you would have won or lost. Your investment is the total amount wagered for every bet or the amount you would have had to risk for each bet

BLITZ GAME LEVEL

Script

The game script implied by the spread. Favorites tend to run more than usual, and underdogs tend to pass more than usual

Pace

The pace the team is projected to play at in this game, based on their underlying tendencies and various game-level factors

Game Pace

The pace the game is projected to play at based on the underlying tendencies of both teams and various game-level factors

Wind

The projected wind in the game. Windier games lead to less efficient passing and more running attempts

Plays

The total number of plays the team’s offense is projected to run

Game Plays

The total number of plays both teams’ offenses are projected to run

Pass Plays

The total number of pass plays the team’s offense is projected to run (including sacks and throw aways)

Run Plays

The total number of rushing plays the team’s offense is projected to run (including QB scrambles and designed QB runs)

Pass %

The percentage of the team’s total offensive plays that are projected to be passing plays (including sacks and throw aways), based on the team’s underlying tendencies, the game script, and other game-level factors

Run %

The percentage of the team’s total offensive plays that are projected to be rushing plays (including QB scrambles and designed QB runs), based on the team’s underlying tendencies, the game script, and other game-level factors

Secs Per Play

The projected seconds-per-play pace of the team’s offense in this game, based on their underlying tendencies and various game-level factors

Game Secs Per Play

The projected seconds-per-play pace of both teams’ offenses in this game, based on their underlying tendencies and various game-level factors