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James Conner

James Conner Carries
Player Prop Week 16

Chicago Bears vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
James Conner Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-130/-102).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Cardinals to be the 8th-most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 44.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • In this game, James Conner is forecasted by the projection model to slot into the 78th percentile among running backs with 13.9 carries.
  • Out of all RBs, James Conner ranks in the 90th percentile for rush attempts this year, accounting for 55.2% of the workload in his offense's ground game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line indicates a throwing game script for the Cardinals, who are -4.5-point underdogs.
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Arizona Cardinals are predicted by the projections to run only 63.3 total plays in this game: the 9th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • The Arizona O-line ranks as the 6th-worst in the league last year at opening holes for runners.
  • As it relates to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, Chicago's group of LBs has been tremendous this year, projecting as the 5th-best in football.

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