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Hunter Renfrow

Hunter Renfrow Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Indianapolis Colts vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Hunter Renfrow Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-170/+140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -165 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -170.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A throwing game script is implied by the Raiders being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.
  • When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Las Vegas Raiders grades out as the 7th-best in football this year.
  • As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, Indianapolis's LB corps has been terrible this year, ranking as the 5th-worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the 7th-least pass-focused offense in the league (57.3% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Las Vegas Raiders.
  • The projections expect the Raiders to be the 4th-most sluggish paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, leading opposing offenses to average 28.57 seconds per play.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.7 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 6th-fewest in the NFL.
  • Hunter Renfrow's 16.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 30.7.
  • Hunter Renfrow's 1.9 adjusted receptions per game this season signifies a significant decline in his pass-catching skills over last season's 3.6 figure.

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