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Hunter Renfrow

Hunter Renfrow Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders

Hunter Renfrow Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+108/-138).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -138.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme throwing game script is suggested by the Raiders being a huge -10.5-point underdog this week.

In regards to pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Las Vegas Raiders ranks as the 6th-best in the league this year.

When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Kansas City's group of safeties has been easily exploitable this year, projecting as the worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the present time, the least pass-centric offense in football (57.2% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Las Vegas Raiders.

With respect to a defense's effect on pace, at 28.57 seconds per snap, the projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders to be the slowest in football (context-neutralized) at the present time.

Opposing teams have averaged 32.9 pass attempts per game against the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: fewest in the league.

Hunter Renfrow's 16.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 30.7.

Hunter Renfrow's 2.1 adjusted receptions per game this season illustrates a remarkable diminishment in his receiving talent over last season's 3.6 figure.

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