Jalen Duren Points - Player Prop Bet 4/3/2024

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Jalen Duren

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Detroit Pistons · Apr 3, 2024

Updated Apr 4, 2024 12:57 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last season's 3.9 rate, Jalen Duren's shots scored have spiked this season to 5.7 per game.
Jalen Duren has averaged 29.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 78th percentile.
The Pistons have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Detroit Pistons rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Jalen Duren has attempted 4.0 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.

Favors Under

Jalen Duren has sunk 0.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 6th percentile out of all players in the league.
In regard to scoring, the Detroit Pistons's unimpressive 99.0 points per game comes in as the lowest in the league over the last 10 games.
The number of 3-pointers sunk against Clint Capela has been remarkably low (0.4 per game) when facing opposing starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 10th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which should decrease possessions for the Pistons.
The matchup vs. Clint Capela is a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; when Capela is on his home court and facing opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted just 2.9 free throws per game (20th percentile).

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