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Jalen Duren

Jalen Duren Points
Player Prop - 3/17/2024

Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat

Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In contrast to last season's 3.9 rate, Jalen Duren's shots from the field scored have increased this season to 5.9 per game.

Jalen Duren has averaged an impressive 29.8 minutes per game this year, significantly more than his 25.0 minutes per game last year.

The Detroit Pistons have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out best in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Jalen Duren has attempted 4.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Duren measures in the 5th percentile for 3-point efficiency with a bad 0.0% rate this year.

In regard to shooting, the Detroit Pistons's lackluster 111.6 points per game on their home court measures as the 6th-lowest in the NBA this year.

The matchup against Bam Adebayo is a difficult one; he has allowed a lowly 11.8 points per game without the home court advantage when squaring off against other starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league away from their home city this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Detroit Pistons.

The showdown with Bam Adebayo in terms of getting to the free-throw line measures in the 4th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs attempting only 2.2 foul shots per game this year when they are at home.

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