Jalen Duren Points - Player Prop Bet 3/11/2024

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Jalen Duren

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Charlotte Hornets · Mar 11, 2024

Updated Mar 12, 2024 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-146/+114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -146.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Duren has made a whopping 5.8 buckets per game this season, quite a bit more than his 3.9 mark last season.
In contrast to last year's 25.0 rate, Jalen Duren's playing time has risen this year to 29.8 minutes per game.
The matchup vs. Nick Richards is a positive one; he has given up a massive 15.8 points per game when facing other starting Cs this year (90th percentile).
The 3rd-fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Detroit Pistons.
The Pistons check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Duren slots into the 99th percentile for personal fouls, registering a colossal 3.4 fouls per game this year.
In terms of scoring, the Pistons's feeble 110.0 points per game with the home court advantage ranks 7th-fewest in the league over the last 5 games.
The Pistons will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from facing the 5th-most lethargic pace offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Hornets).
The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs against Nick Richards has been remarkably low this year (2.7 foul shot attempts per game: 11th percentile).

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