Jalen Duren Points - Player Prop Bet 10/25/2023

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Jalen Duren

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Points

Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons · Oct 25, 2023

Updated Oct 25, 2023 11:26 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Duren has made 74.8% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games on the road, core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1)% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season away from home.
Jalen Duren has tallied 29.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) higher than he's tallied in all games this year.
The Detroit Pistons check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, the other team has collected 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-fewest in the league) against the Miami Heat (lessening possessions that could otherwise generate added chances for offense).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Duren ranks in the 4th percentile for three-point attempts, tallying 0.0 per game this year.
Jalen Duren has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) higher than he's accumulated overall this year at home.
As it relates to scoring, the Detroit Pistons's feeble 110.3 points per game playing at home settles in as the 2nd-lowest in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. Miami is a challenging one; when the Heat are the visiting squad, they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting Cs this year (11.7).
The 9th-least up-tempo tempo home offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Detroit Pistons.

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