Jalen Duren Points - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Detroit Pistons · Mar 29, 2023

Updated Mar 30, 2023 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-122/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Duren has successfully made 73.6% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 10.3% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season.
The matchup against the Thunder is a strong one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting Cs have put up the 30th-highest field goal rate in the NBA this year (65.7%).
The Thunder have played at the quickest pace in the league over the last 25 games in their home city, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Pistons.
The Detroit Pistons have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Thunder is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting Cs have attempted a massive 4.0 free throws per game this year (28th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Jalen Duren has attempted 0.0 3-pointers per game this year, ranking in the 5th percentile among all players in the league.
Jalen Duren has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Detroit Pistons have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 6th-slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games.
The Thunder have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).