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Zonovan Knight Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-115/-110).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.The New York Jets have gone up against a stacked the box on just 13.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in football. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.The New York Jets have gone for it on 4th down 22.0% of the time since the start of last season (10th-most in the league), which usually means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive metrics across the board.The New York Jets have utilized some form of misdirection on 57.6% of their plays since the start of last season (3rd-most in the league), which can confuse the defense and bolster offensive production.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The New York Jets will be forced to use backup QB Mike White in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.The Jets are a huge 7.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.The Minnesota Vikings defense has had the 10th-best efficiency against opposing run games this year, surrendering just 4.31 yards-per-carry.The Minnesota Vikings defensive tackles rank as the best unit in the NFL this year in regard to run defense.
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