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Zonovan Knight

Zonovan Knight Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 13

Minnesota Vikings vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Zonovan Knight Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+186/-273).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -261 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -273.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets to be the 7th-most run-centric team in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) right now with a 46.1% red zone run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses have run for the 7th-most touchdowns in the league (1.09 per game) against the Minnesota Vikings defense this year.
  • The New York Jets have gone up against a stacked the box on just 13.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in football. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The New York Jets have gone for it on 4th down 22.0% of the time since the start of last season (10th-most in the league), which usually means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Jets are a huge 7.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • The Minnesota Vikings defensive tackles rank as the best unit in the NFL this year in regard to run defense.

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