Zonovan Knight Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Zonovan Knight

NFL · Player Props

Zonovan Knight

RB · New York Jets

Carries

New York Jets vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 23, 2022 12:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Zonovan Knight Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-150/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets to be the 9th-most run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 47.1% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Jets to call the 10th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 15-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
The New York Jets have faced a stacked the box on a measly 13.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The New York Jets have gone for it on 4th down 22.0% of the time since the start of last season (10th-most in the NFL), which typically means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.

Favors Under

The New York Jets offensive line ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year at blocking for the run game.
The Jacksonville Jaguars defensive tackles grade out as the 7th-best collection of DTs in football this year in regard to defending the run.
The Jacksonville Jaguars have stacked the box against opponents on 22.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in football. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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