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Zay Jones

Zay Jones Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Zay Jones Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+125/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -155.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 5th-most pass-heavy team in the league (64.8% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Jacksonville Jaguars.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have called the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 59.9 plays per game.

Our trusted projections expect Zay Jones to garner 6.4 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 81st percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

This year, the weak Tennessee Titans pass defense has conceded a massive 71.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the worst rate in football.

The Titans cornerbacks grade out as the 4th-worst collection of CBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jaguars are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating a running game script.

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Jaguars are predicted by the projection model to run 65.7 offensive plays in this game: the 9th-most on the slate this week.

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