An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Jaguars being a massive 10.5-point favorite in this game.Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Jaguars to pass on 53.8% of their plays: the lowest rate on the slate this week.The projections expect this game to see the smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 124.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.Zay Jones has been much less involved in his offense's passing game this season (14.2% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (22.0%).Zay Jones's pass-catching performance tailed off this year, averaging just 2.6 adjusted receptions compared to 5.1 last year.
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