Zay Jones Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Zay Jones

NFL · Player Props

Zay Jones

WR · Jacksonville Jaguars

Receptions

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Zay Jones Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+115/-149).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects the Jaguars to be the 8th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 63.2% pass rate.
With respect to a defense's influence on pace, at 27.36 seconds per snap, the leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 5th-fastest in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment.
This year, the anemic Tennessee Titans pass defense has allowed a colossal 73.4% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the 2nd-biggest rate in football.
The Tennessee Titans safeties grade out as the 2nd-worst unit in football this year in covering receivers.

Favors Under

The Jaguars are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a running game script.
Opposing teams have averaged 33.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Tennessee Titans defense this year: 10th-fewest in the league.

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