Zay Jones Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 1

My Account Log Out

reorder

Zay Jones

NFL · Player Props

Zay Jones

WR · Jacksonville Jaguars

Receptions

Washington Commanders vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 7:38 PM UTC

Analysis

Zay Jones Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-128/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jacksonville Jaguars will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.7% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
The Jaguars are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars as the 9th-most pass-oriented team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 63.1% pass rate.
The Jacksonville Jaguars offense has played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, averaging 25.82 seconds per play.
The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line grades out as the 10th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all passing game metrics across the board.

Favors Under

The Jacksonville Jaguars have gone up against a stacked the box on a measly 11.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Jacksonville Jaguars have utilized motion in their offense on 33.0% of their play-calls since the start of last season (9th-least in the league), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

More Zay Jones Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow