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Zay Jones

Zay Jones Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Cleveland Browns vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Zay Jones Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Jaguars to be the 9th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 63.4% pass rate.

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Jacksonville Jaguars are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run 65.7 offensive plays in this contest: the 8th-highest number among all teams this week.

The Jaguars have run the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 55.2 plays per game.

Zay Jones has posted far fewer air yards this season (50.0 per game) than he did last season (63.0 per game).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing teams teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Browns, averaging the fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 28.2 per game) this year.

Zay Jones's 39.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 51.1.

Zay Jones has notched quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (33.0) this season than he did last season (54.0).

Zay Jones's possession skills have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 70.3% to 58.2%.

Zay Jones's pass-catching effectiveness has tailed off this season, compiling a mere 6.34 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 7.38 rate last season.

More Zay Jones Player Props

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