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Zay Jones

Zay Jones Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Chargers

Zay Jones Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 47.5 (-106/-129).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 49.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 47.5 @ -129.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jacksonville Jaguars will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.8% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).

The Jaguars have been the 9th-most pass-oriented team in football (adjusted for context) this year with a 62.1% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Zay Jones has been used less as a potential target this year (91.3% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (60.1%).

THE BLITZ projects Zay Jones to garner 7.8 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 82nd percentile among wideouts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing offenses have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: least in the NFL.

Zay Jones has been among the least effective pass-catchers in football, averaging a mere 7.37 yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 23rd percentile among WRs

The Los Angeles Chargers defense has given up the 4th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 122.0) to wide receivers this year.

The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has displayed good efficiency vs. wideouts this year, conceding 7.63 yards-per-target to the position: the 7th-least in football.

The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has been quite strong when opposing WRs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 3.19 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 3rd-least in the NFL.

More Zay Jones Player Props

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