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Zay Jones

Zay Jones Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 7

Jacksonville Jaguars vs New York Giants

Zay Jones Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+250/-406).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -394 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -406.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 4th-quickest paced defense in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 27.29 seconds per snap.

Zay Jones has been heavily involved in his team's pass game near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 24.1% this year, which ranks him in the 86th percentile among wideouts.

Zay Jones's 47.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 32.0.

The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all air attack stats across the board.

Zay Jones's sure-handedness have gotten better this year, with his Completion% increasing from 67.5% to 72.2%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jaguars are a 3-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.

The weather report calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.

Opposing teams have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game versus the New York Giants defense this year: 5th-least in football.

The New York Giants pass defense has allowed the 6th-lowest Completion% in football (60.6%) vs. wide receivers this year (60.6%).

The New York Giants defense has allowed the 6th-least passing TDs in football to WRs: 0.50 per game this year.

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