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Zay Flowers

Zay Flowers Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Baltimore Ravens vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Zay Flowers Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are predicted by the projections to run 65.9 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 36.0 pass attempts per game versus the Broncos defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.
  • This week, Zay Flowers is anticipated by our trusted projection set to rank in the 79th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 7.2 targets.
  • Zay Flowers's 59.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 52.2.
  • With an impressive 5.2 adjusted catches per game (88th percentile) this year, Zay Flowers stands as one of the best wide receivers in the league in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are an enormous 9-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 47.9% of their downs: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Denver's group of safeties has been exceptional this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in the league.

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