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Zay Flowers

Zay Flowers Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Baltimore Ravens vs Las Vegas Raiders

Zay Flowers Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -100 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a top-tier 92.0% Route Participation Rate (90th percentile) since the start of last season, Zay Flowers stands among the WRs with the biggest workloads in the league.

Our trusted projections expect Zay Flowers to earn 6.9 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 81st percentile among wide receivers.

When talking about pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Baltimore Ravens profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.

Zay Flowers comes in as one of the top WRs in the league since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 5.0 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 88th percentile.

Zay Flowers grades out as one of the best possession receivers in the NFL, completing an exceptional 75.3% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, ranking in the 96th percentile among wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Ravens being a heavy 7-point favorite this week.

The projections expect the Ravens as the 2nd-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 50.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens offense to be the 9th-most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 28.56 seconds per play.

The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

The Raiders cornerbacks rank as the 4th-best group of CBs in football since the start of last season in covering receivers.

More Zay Flowers Player Props

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