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Zay Flowers

Zay Flowers Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Houston Texans vs Baltimore Ravens

Zay Flowers Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+114/-148).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +123 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.

In this game, Zay Flowers is projected by the model to place in the 84th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 7.8 targets.

Zay Flowers's 59.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this season than it was last season at 52.2.

With an impressive 4.7 adjusted receptions per game (81st percentile) this year, Zay Flowers ranks among the best WRs in the NFL in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is suggested by the Ravens being a 5.5-point favorite in this week's game.

The projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 50.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect this game to chug along at the 11th-slowest tempo on the slate this week, averaging 26.55 seconds per play based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.

Zay Flowers's 67.8% Adjusted Catch Rate this year conveys a material decline in his pass-catching ability over last year's 75.1% mark.

This year, the stout Houston Texans defense has surrendered a meager 58.0% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the 2nd-lowest rate in the NFL.

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