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Zay Flowers

Zay Flowers Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Zay Flowers Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-162/+123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -162.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect Zay Flowers to earn 7.3 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 80th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

Zay Flowers's 59.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 52.2.

Zay Flowers rates as one of the leading wide receivers in the game this year, averaging an impressive 4.7 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 81st percentile.

The Steelers cornerbacks profile as the worst CB corps in the league this year in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Ravens are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script.

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 48.2% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens offense to be the 2nd-most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.52 seconds per play.

Windy weather conditions (like the 16-mph being called for in this game) generally lead to decreased passing efficiency, reduced air attack volume, and higher ground volume.

Zay Flowers's 67.8% Adjusted Completion Rate this season shows a noteworthy decline in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 75.1% rate.

More Zay Flowers Player Props

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