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Zay Flowers

Zay Flowers Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

New York Giants vs Baltimore Ravens

Zay Flowers Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-109/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are projected by our trusted projection set to call 65.5 total plays in this contest: the 10th-highest number among all teams this week.

Zay Flowers's 59.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 52.2.

With an exceptional 4.6 adjusted receptions per game (81st percentile) this year, Zay Flowers places among the top wide receivers in the league in the league.

The Giants safeties profile as the 9th-worst unit in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 16.5-point advantage, the Ravens are heavily favored this week, indicating much more of a focus on running than their usual approach.

The projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to be the least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 44.3% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 29.2 pass attempts per game versus the New York Giants defense this year: fewest in the league.

Zay Flowers's 66.6% Adjusted Completion% this season represents a material reduction in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 75.1% mark.

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