Zay Flowers Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Zay Flowers

NFL · Player Props

Zay Flowers

WR · Baltimore Ravens

Receptions

Arizona Cardinals vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 30, 2023 12:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Zay Flowers Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Ravens offensive blueprint to lean 3.2% more towards the passing attack than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Todd Monken now calling the plays.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
With an impressive 92.9% Route% (93rd percentile) this year, Zay Flowers ranks among the wideouts with the highest volume in the league.
In this week's contest, Zay Flowers is expected by the projections to rank in the 86th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 8.2 targets.
When talking about pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Ravens grades out as the 9th-best in the league this year.

Favors Under

With a 9.5-point advantage, the Ravens are a huge favorite this week, implying much more of a focus on running than their standard approach.
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Ravens to pass on 51.8% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
The model projects the Ravens offense to be the 6th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.13 seconds per snap.

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