Zay Flowers Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Zay Flowers

NFL · Player Props

Zay Flowers

WR · Baltimore Ravens

Receptions

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 18, 2023 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Zay Flowers Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-180/+150).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing teams have averaged 39.4 pass attempts per game versus the Jaguars defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.
Zay Flowers has run a route on 93.3% of his team's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among wideouts.
This week, Zay Flowers is predicted by the projection model to rank in the 84th percentile when it comes to WRs with 7.5 targets.
The Ravens O-line grades out as the best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
Zay Flowers has been one of the best wide receivers in the NFL this year, averaging a terrific 5.0 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 88th percentile.

Favors Under

This week's spread indicates a running game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 4 points.
The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 3rd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 50.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect the Baltimore Ravens offense to be the 4th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 29.09 seconds per play.
The Jaguars cornerbacks rank as the 7th-best group of CBs in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

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