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Zay Flowers

Zay Flowers Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Baltimore Ravens vs Denver Broncos

Zay Flowers Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-136/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 52.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 49.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are predicted by the projections to run 65.9 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-highest number among all teams this week.

Opposing QBs have averaged 36.0 pass attempts per game versus the Broncos defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.

This week, Zay Flowers is anticipated by our trusted projection set to rank in the 79th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 7.2 targets.

Zay Flowers has accrued far fewer air yards this year (47.0 per game) than he did last year (57.0 per game).

Zay Flowers's 59.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 52.2.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Ravens are an enormous 9-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 47.9% of their downs: the lowest rate on the slate this week.

This year, the formidable Broncos defense has surrendered the 4th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing WRs: a measly 7.3 yards.

This year, the daunting Broncos pass defense has allowed the least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing WRs: a measly 2.6 YAC.

As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Denver's group of safeties has been exceptional this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in the league.

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