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Zay Flowers

Zay Flowers Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills

Zay Flowers Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 48.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 54.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With an exceptional 92.5% Route Participation Rate (92nd percentile) since the start of last season, Zay Flowers ranks among the WRs with the highest volume in the league.

The predictive model expects Zay Flowers to accumulate 7.0 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among wide receivers.

Zay Flowers grades out in the 78th percentile when it comes to wideouts since the start of last season with an impressive 23.3% of his team's air yards accumulated.

The Baltimore O-line profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing game stats across the board.

With an exceptional 52.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (77th percentile) since the start of last season, Zay Flowers rates as one of the top pass-catching wide receivers in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is indicated by the Ravens being a 3-point favorite this week.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 48.5% of their chances: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projection model to see just 123.0 offensive plays run: the 2nd-lowest number among all games this week.

Since the start of last season, the stout Bills defense has allowed a mere 122.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing wide receivers: the 5th-best in football.

Since the start of last season, the imposing Bills pass defense has conceded the least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing WRs: a meager 3.2 YAC.

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