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Zay Flowers

Zay Flowers Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Zay Flowers Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 63.5 (-122/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 59.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 63.5 @ -122.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect Zay Flowers to earn 7.3 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 80th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
  • After accruing 57.0 air yards per game last year, Zay Flowers has shown good development this year, currently pacing 72.0 per game.
  • Zay Flowers's 59.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 52.2.
  • Zay Flowers's 65.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year illustrates a material improvement in his pass-catching ability over last year's 52.0 rate.
  • Zay Flowers's 9.3 adjusted yards per target this season represents a noteable growth in his pass-catching talent over last season's 8.0 mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 48.2% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens offense to be the 2nd-most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.52 seconds per play.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 16-mph being called for in this game) generally lead to decreased passing efficiency, reduced air attack volume, and higher ground volume.
  • Zay Flowers's 67.8% Adjusted Completion Rate this season shows a noteworthy decline in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 75.1% rate.

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