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Zay Flowers

Zay Flowers Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens

Zay Flowers Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 63.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 59.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 63.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In this week's game, Zay Flowers is projected by the model to place in the 81st percentile among WRs with 7.4 targets.

With a top-tier 26.2% Target Share (92nd percentile) this year, Zay Flowers stands as one of the wide receivers with the most usage in the league.

After accruing 57.0 air yards per game last year, Zay Flowers has undergone big improvement this year, currently pacing 64.0 per game.

Zay Flowers's 67.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year conveys a material improvement in his receiving skills over last year's 52.0 mark.

Zay Flowers profiles as one of the best possession receivers in the NFL, completing a stellar 72.4% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 82nd percentile among wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread implies a rushing game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 3 points.

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 51.2% of their plays: the lowest clip among all teams this week.

At the present time, the 2nd-most sluggish paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Baltimore Ravens.

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