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Zay Flowers Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 63.5 (-140/+110).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Baltimore Ravens have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to lean 2.3% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).With an exceptional 95.9% Route% (97th percentile) this year, Zay Flowers places as one of the WRs with the most usage in football.The model projects Zay Flowers to garner 8.1 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 86th percentile among WRs.Zay Flowers has totaled a whopping 69.0 air yards per game this year: 76th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.With a remarkable 65.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (84th percentile) this year, Zay Flowers stands among the best pass-catching wide receivers in football.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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With a 5-point advantage, the Ravens are favored this week, indicating more of a reliance on rushing than their normal game plan.Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Ravens to pass on 52.2% of their plays: the 3rd-lowest rate among all teams this week.Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are expected by our trusted projection set to run only 63.2 total plays in this contest: the 10th-fewest among all teams this week.The Titans pass defense has performed very well when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 3.59 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-fewest in the NFL.
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