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Zay Flowers
NFL · Player Props
Zay Flowers
WR · Baltimore Ravens
Receiving Yards
Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 11, 2023 Updated Nov 17, 2023 1:16 AM UTC
NFL Props Zay Flowers Receiving Yards

Zay Flowers Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 51.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 52.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 51.5 @ -105.

Favors Over
  • The predictive model expects the Ravens offense to lean 3.6% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Todd Monken now calling the plays.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally mean increased passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and lower rush volume.
  • The model projects Zay Flowers to garner 6.9 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 79th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • With an exceptional 24.4% Target% (88th percentile) this year, Zay Flowers stands among the wide receivers with the biggest workloads in the league.
  • Zay Flowers has been responsible for a colossal 25.2% of his offense's air yards this year: 78th percentile among wideouts.
Favors Under
  • This week's line implies a running game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 3.5 points.
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Ravens to pass on 51.6% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Ravens are anticipated by the predictive model to run only 62.8 offensive plays in this contest: the 6th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • This year, the tough Cincinnati Bengals defense has allowed a puny 60.9% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the 6th-smallest rate in the league.
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