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Zack Moss

Zack Moss Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Indianapolis Colts vs Cleveland Browns

Zack Moss Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 33.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 32.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 41.7% rate of running the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 5th-most run-heavy team in the league has been the Indianapolis Colts.

The model projects this game to have the most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.4 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The Colts have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 62.3 plays per game.

Zack Moss has rushed for many more adjusted yards per game (95.0) this season than he did last season (34.0).

With a stellar total of 4.94 adjusted yards per carry (83rd percentile), Zack Moss has been as one of the leading RBs in the NFL this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line suggests a passing game script for the Colts, who are -3.5-point underdogs.

The predictive model expects Zack Moss to be a much smaller piece of his team's rushing attack in this week's contest (35.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (70.1% in games he has played).

This year, the tough Browns run defense has yielded a puny 73.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to the opposing side: the 3rd-best in football.

As it relates to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Cleveland's group of LBs has been terrific this year, grading out as the 5th-best in the NFL.

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