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Zack Moss

Zack Moss Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Indianapolis Colts vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Zack Moss Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 69.5 (-122/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 69.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 69.5 @ -122.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Colts boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Shane Steichen, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to skew 1.6% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
  • The leading projections forecast the Indianapolis Colts as the 5th-most run-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 42.2% run rate.
  • The model projects the Colts to run the 2nd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 67.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Colts have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 60.9 plays per game.
  • The predictive model expects Zack Moss to earn 19.2 carries in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 98th percentile when it comes to running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Los Angeles defensive ends profile as the 4th-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

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