Zack Moss Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Zack Moss

NFL · Player Props

Zack Moss

RB · Indianapolis Colts

Rushing Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Zack Moss Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 69.5 (-122/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 69.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 69.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Colts boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Shane Steichen, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to skew 1.6% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
The leading projections forecast the Indianapolis Colts as the 5th-most run-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 42.2% run rate.
The model projects the Colts to run the 2nd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 67.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Colts have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 60.9 plays per game.
The predictive model expects Zack Moss to earn 19.2 carries in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 98th percentile when it comes to running backs.

Favors Under

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Los Angeles defensive ends profile as the 4th-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

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