Zack Moss Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Zack Moss

NFL · Player Props

Zack Moss

RB · Indianapolis Colts

Rushing Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 4:46 PM UTC

Analysis

Zack Moss Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 52.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 134.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts have run the 10th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 59.8 plays per game.
The Indianapolis Colts have played in the 7th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league since the start of last season, which ought to mean lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing offense performance when facing windier conditions in this week's contest.
THE BLITZ projects Zack Moss to garner 18.9 carries in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile among RBs.
Zack Moss's rushing effectiveness (4.73 yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL since the start of last season (75th percentile among running backs).

Favors Under

The Colts are a heavy 7.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 9th-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 39.3% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing teams have run for the 3rd-least yards in the league (just 90 per game) against the Baltimore Ravens defense since the start of last season.
The Baltimore Ravens linebackers project as the 3rd-best collection of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

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