Zack Moss Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Zack Moss

NFL · Player Props

Zack Moss

RB · Indianapolis Colts

Rushing Yards

Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 17, 2023 5:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Zack Moss Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 47.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 48.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Indianapolis Colts boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Shane Steichen, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.9% more towards rushing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 4th-most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 46.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Colts to run the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 67.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts have called the 8th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 60.3 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Zack Moss to be a much bigger part of his offense's rushing attack this week (37.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (27.2% in games he has played).

Favors Under

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

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