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Zack Moss

Zack Moss Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans

Zack Moss Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 138.2 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.

Zack Moss has rushed for significantly more adjusted yards per game (60.0) this year than he did last year (34.0).

The Texans defensive tackles profile as the 4th-worst DT corps in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Colts as the 6th-least run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 38.9% run rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The projections expect Zack Moss to be a much smaller part of his offense's ground game in this week's game (20.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (52.3% in games he has played).

The Texans defense has produced the best efficiency against opposing run games this year, conceding just 3.34 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

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