Zack Moss Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 18

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Zack Moss

NFL · Player Props

Zack Moss

RB · Indianapolis Colts

Rushing Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans · Week 18, 2022

Updated Jan 8, 2023 6:11 PM UTC

Analysis

Zack Moss Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 64.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Colts are a 3-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts to be the 9th-most run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 45.9% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts offense to be the 10th-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 27.07 seconds per snap.
THE BLITZ projects Zack Moss to accumulate 16.3 carries in this game, on average, ranking in the 90th percentile among running backs.
THE BLITZ projects Zack Moss to be a more integral piece of his offense's run game this week (54.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (25.8% in games he has played).

Favors Under

The Indianapolis Colts will be forced to use backup quarterback Sam Ehlinger in this week's game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Indianapolis Colts offensive line grades out as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year in run blocking.
The Indianapolis Colts have gone no-huddle on a mere 2.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-least in football). This slows down the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.

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