Zack Moss Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Zack Moss

NFL · Player Props

Zack Moss

RB · Indianapolis Colts

Rushing Yards

New York Giants vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 2, 2023 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Zack Moss Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 60.5 (-140/+110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Indianapolis Colts have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 60.3 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Zack Moss to accumulate 17.4 rush attempts in this game, on average, ranking in the 91st percentile among running backs.
THE BLITZ projects Zack Moss to be a more important option in his team's run game this week (66.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (23.6% in games he has played).
Zack Moss's running effectiveness has been refined this year, notching 4.65 yards-per-carry compared to just 3.87 mark last year.
The New York Giants defense has produced the 2nd-worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, giving up 5.35 yards-per-carry.

Favors Under

The Indianapolis Colts will be starting backup QB Nick Foles in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Colts are a 5.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Colts to run the 5th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in the league this year at blocking for rushers.
The New York Giants defensive tackles grade out as the 2nd-best unit in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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