Zack Moss Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Zack Moss

NFL · Player Props

Zack Moss

RB · Indianapolis Colts

Receiving Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 16, 2023 8:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Zack Moss Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts to pass on 59.6% of their chances: the 10th-greatest rate among all teams this week.
At the present time, the 4th-quickest paced offense in the league (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Colts.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Zack Moss's 47.1% Route Participation Rate this year shows a meaningful progression in his passing attack utilization over last year's 18.5% figure.
The predictive model expects Zack Moss to earn 3.8 targets in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 80th percentile when it comes to RBs.

Favors Under

Opposing teams have averaged 34.5 pass attempts per game versus the Steelers defense this year: 10th-fewest in football.
This year, the fierce Steelers defense has given up a feeble 70.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the best rate in football.
The Steelers linebackers grade out as the 2nd-best group of LBs in the NFL this year in regard to pass rush.

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