Zack Moss Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Zack Moss

NFL · Player Props

Zack Moss

RB · Indianapolis Colts

Receiving Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 27, 2022 1:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Zack Moss Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-104/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Colts are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts have called the 6th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Zack Moss's receiving reliability have been refined this season, with his Completion% rising from 76.0% to 100.0%.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts to be the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 59.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.
Zack Moss's 3.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 10.2.
The Indianapolis Colts O-line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all air attack metrics across the board.
Zack Moss has put up significantly fewer receiving yards per game (3.0) this season than he did last season (15.0).

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