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Zach Wilson
NFL · Player Props
Zach Wilson
QB · New York Jets
TD Passes
New York Jets vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 9, 2023 Updated Nov 7, 2023 1:16 AM UTC
NFL Props Zach Wilson TD Passes

Zach Wilson TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+170/-222).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +180 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +170.

Favors Over
  • The New York Jets will be forced to start backup quarterback Zach Wilson in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • The Jets are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Jets to be the 10th-most pass-focused offense in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 58.3% red zone pass rate.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see 130.6 total plays run: the 4th-most among all games this week.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 39.7 pass attempts per game versus the Chargers defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
Favors Under
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New York Jets to pass on 58.8% of their chances: the lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • The Jets have called the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 52.9 plays per game.
  • In this week's game, Zach Wilson is predicted by the model to average the fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 35.2.
  • The New York O-line ranks as the worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all air attack statistics across the board.
  • With an awful rate of just 0.71 per game (19th percentile), Zach Wilson places as one of the worst touchdown throwers in the league this year.
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