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Zach Wilson

Zach Wilson TD Passes
Player Prop Week 2

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Jets

Zach Wilson TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-175/+145).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New York Jets will be starting backup quarterback Zach Wilson in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

The Jets are an enormous 8.5-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets as the 4th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 63.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets to be the 10th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 58.8% red zone pass rate.

The New York Jets have played in the 2nd-most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which ought to result in higher pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved pass game performance when facing better conditions in this week's contest.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Jets to call the 4th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Zach Wilson has been among the least accurate QBs in the league since the start of last season with a 56.1% Completion%, ranking in the 12th percentile.

Zach Wilson has been among the worst touchdown passers in football since the start of last season, averaging a terrible 0.67 per game while grading out in the 11th percentile.

The Dallas Cowboys cornerbacks rank as the best CB corps in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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