My Account Log Out
 
 
Zach Wilson

Zach Wilson TD Passes
Player Prop Week 15

Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Zach Wilson TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -165.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -7-point disadvantage, the Jets are enormous underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their usual approach.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New York Jets to pass on 60.9% of their opportunities: the 7th-highest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The projections expect the New York Jets to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 62.0% red zone pass rate.
  • Zach Wilson's passing precision has gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 55.9% to 61.6%.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 5th-highest clip in football versus the Miami Dolphins defense this year (73.9% Adjusted Completion%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the New York Jets are anticipated by the predictive model to call only 63.3 total plays in this game: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The New York Jets have called the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 55.9 plays per game.
  • When talking about pocket protection (and the ramifications it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the New York Jets ranks as the 2nd-worst in the league this year.
  • Zach Wilson has been among the bottom TD passers in the league this year, averaging a paltry 0.73 per game while checking in at the 13th percentile.
  • As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Miami's group of safeties has been exceptional this year, ranking as the 3rd-best in football.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™