Zach Wilson TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Zach Wilson

NFL · Player Props

Zach Wilson

QB · New York Jets

TD Passes

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New York Jets · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 11:20 PM UTC

Analysis

Zach Wilson TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-175/+135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jets are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets as the 5th-most pass-centric team in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) right now with a 61.3% red zone pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 138.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Zach Wilson to attempt 37.1 passes in this week's game, on average: the 10th-most of all QBs.
The New York Jets offensive line has given their QB 2.69 seconds before the pass (5th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all air attack metrics across the board.

Favors Under

Opposing QBs have averaged 33.0 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season: 10th-least in the NFL.
The New York Jets offensive line profiles as the 9th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all air attack metrics across the board.
Zach Wilson has been among the least accurate QBs in the league since the start of last season with a 56.0% Completion%, grading out in the 3rd percentile.
Zach Wilson has been among the worst TD passers in football since the start of last season, averaging a miserable 0.69 per game while grading out in the 16th percentile.
Opposing teams have completed passes at the 9th-lowest clip in football vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season (68.8%).

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