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Zach Wilson

Zach Wilson TD Passes
Player Prop Week 16

New York Jets vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Zach Wilson TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-175/+135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -250 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Jets to call the 10th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Opposing QBs have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.

The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has given up the 4th-most passing TDs in the league: 1.71 per game this year.

The Jacksonville Jaguars linebackers project as the 4th-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

The New York Jets O-line has allowed their quarterback 2.69 seconds before the pass (5th-best in football since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets to be the 9th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 52.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The weatherman calls for 15-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

The New York Jets O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

Zach Wilson has been among the least on-target passers in the league this year with a 57.1% Completion%, grading out in the 3rd percentile.

Zach Wilson has been among the worst touchdown passers in the NFL this year, averaging a terrible 0.75 per game while ranking in the 17th percentile.

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