Zach Wilson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Zach Wilson

NFL · Player Props

Zach Wilson

QB · New York Jets

Rushing Yards

New York Giants vs New York Jets · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 10:51 PM EST

Analysis

Zach Wilson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jets are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
The predictive model expects the Jets as the 10th-most run-focused team among all teams this week with a 44.0% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Zach Wilson's running effectiveness has been refined this year, notching 6.41 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to just 5.35 figure last year.
This year, the daunting Giants run defense has yielded a measly 5.25 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's running game: the 30th-smallest rate in the NFL.
The Giants linebackers grade out as the worst group of LBs in football this year with their run defense.

Favors Under

The Jets may throw the ball less in this game (and call more carries) because they be forced to utilize backup QB Zach Wilson.
Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the New York Jets are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run only 63.4 plays on offense in this contest: the 10th-lowest number among all teams this week.
The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Jets this year (a mere 52.0 per game on average).
In this week's contest, Zach Wilson is predicted by the predictive model to accrue the 7th-fewest rush attempts out of all QBs with 2.8.
The Jets offensive line ranks as the worst in football last year at opening holes for runners.

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